Humankind and the World at the Point of Bifurcation

The article examines the developmental prospects of civilization from the perspective of self-organization theory and synergetics, which are becoming foundational for understanding the processes of the 21st century. The author argues that the contemporary world is at a bifurcation point, characterized by a loss of stability in its previous developmental trajectory. At this fateful juncture, the very structure of society and the guiding principles of human evolution are being forged anew. The analysis covers four fundamentally different future scenarios: (1) the rise of a digital hyper-empire built on total control; (2) a retreat into a pre-modern religious worldview, heralding a “New Middle Ages”; (3) a purely technocratic leap, symbolized by the ambitions of Elon Musk; and (4) the humanistic vision proposed by the philosopher I.T. Frolov. The author provides a detailed examination of the negative consequences of the first three scenarios. The era of the hyper-empire and hyper-control would lead to the loss of individual freedom, the erosion of social bonds, the dominance of algorithmic governance, and poses the threat of dehumanization. The project of a “New Middle Ages,” theorized by N.A. Berdyaev, courts regression into irrationalism and tribalism, leading to civilizational stagnation. The technological breakthrough scenario, despite its apparent successes, entails risks of strategic failure due to an excessive focus on technological dominance at the expense of humanistic and social considerations. The most viable and hopeful alternative presented is the “Frolovian scenario,” which advocates for holistic human progress rooted in scientific humanism. This paradigm places the moral and cultural flourishing of the person at its center, viewing technology as a means rather than an end. It is this approach, the author argues, that holds the promise of guiding humanity through the current instability toward a balanced and sustainable future. The conclusion emphasizes the necessity for each individual to recognize their responsibility for the current historical choice, a decision upon which the destiny of our species hangs.

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